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Old 05-24-2018, 05:06 PM
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Default someone explain the new card market?

Kid has 10 ABs in the bigs. This card isn't even rare, there are 150 of them. And it's a 9 not a 10.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/2016-BOWMAN...p2047675.l2557
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 05-24-2018 at 05:06 PM.
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Old 05-24-2018, 05:24 PM
thatkidfromjerrymaguire thatkidfromjerrymaguire is offline
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My guess is that prospectors are trying to hit on the next 1952 Mantle now. If they're right, that's a good investment. But my best guess is that 99.9% of all these limited, numbered, superfractored, etc. cards are going to be worth far less than what people are paying today. Sort of like my 1986 Donruss Jose Canseco.
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Old 05-24-2018, 05:37 PM
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It's a lottery, nothing more, nothing less.
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Old 05-24-2018, 06:11 PM
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It's not really a lottery though. Juan Soto has only experienced success at any level he's played at, so it's not like you're investing that in a guy who just got drafted. He's hot right now though so it's definitely not the time to buy but if you bought the corresponding Trout card for that price at the time I'm pretty sure you'd see a decent return.

Last edited by packs; 05-24-2018 at 06:13 PM.
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Old 05-24-2018, 06:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by packs View Post
It's not really a lottery though. Juan Soto has only experienced success at any level he's played at, so it's not like you're investing that in a guy who just got drafted. He's hot right now though so it's definitely not the time to buy but if you bought the corresponding Trout card for that price at the time I'm pretty sure you'd see a decent return.
Yes but he's 19, not like he has a meaningful record of success that says anything about how he is going to perform in MLB. Sure, it's POSSIBLE he becomes the next Trout, but realistically what are the chances, 1 in what? It seems a bad gamble to me.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 05-24-2018 at 06:17 PM.
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Old 05-24-2018, 06:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Kid has 10 ABs in the bigs. This card isn't even rare, there are 150 of them. And it's a 9 not a 10.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/2016-BOWMAN...p2047675.l2557
one word: INSANITY
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Old 05-24-2018, 07:55 PM
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Well, I have to say this about him.....he's the first player in a looooong time, where you can actually read his autograph!

Steve
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Last edited by Steve D; 05-24-2018 at 07:55 PM.
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Old 05-24-2018, 09:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve D View Post
Well, I have to say this about him.....he's the first player in a looooong time, where you can actually read his autograph!

Steve
LOL I did notice that -- of course it's a short name so easy to sign.
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Old 05-24-2018, 09:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by toppcat View Post
It's a lottery, nothing more, nothing less.
Yup, this is it. Ive just recently ( about two years ago) tried to play. Ive bought a few auto rookies mostly of a guy named Matt Chapman. He plays third base for the As. I like him and think he has potential. He just recently when in a slump but was hot at the start of the year. Is defense is outstanding.

A few years back I bought a rookie of a kid named Cody Bellenger. I got his elite rookie for 3 bucks I sold it last year for 275 dollars. I felt like I won the lotto.
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Old 05-25-2018, 08:06 AM
packs packs is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Yes but he's 19, not like he has a meaningful record of success that says anything about how he is going to perform in MLB. Sure, it's POSSIBLE he becomes the next Trout, but realistically what are the chances, 1 in what? It seems a bad gamble to me.
No meaningful record but they're losing Harper and they have Soto and Victor Robles waiting in the wings. Hardly anyone sees meaningful playing time in the majors at 19 and Soto is expected to play every day for the rest of the year. He tore up pitching in the minors which is all you have to go on. Now is definitely not the time to buy. The time to buy would have been before the the season started. But everyone is worried about missing out on the next Trout card.

Last edited by packs; 05-25-2018 at 08:42 AM.
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